12 Fearless 2025 Predictions

I looked back on my 2024 predictions and though I did nail that Joe Biden would withdraw from running for President. I did not guess correctly that Donald Trump would also withdraw and with a pardon. Despite my predictions, Twitter did not go dark and the Russia-Ukraine war did not end. I did not fare well in my sports predictions.

However, I am back with my 2025 predictions. My crystal ball looks a bit gloomy and stormy…

Image by AI
  1. With a cabinet with incompetent and mediocre appointees by President Trump, brace for turmoil during any emergency or major national issue. Expect significant mismanagement in response to natural disasters (hurricanes) or medical crises (epidemics), resulting in widespread public frustration and delays in assistance.
  2. I expect an unsatisfactory resolution in 2025 to the Ukraine-Russia war now that Trump is President. I anticipate a huge FU to our European allies who have made significant economic and financial sacrifices who have assisted Ukraine. My sense is that Europe and NATO will have little influence or say how the war is resolved.
  3. The mainstream press will continue to erode. Layoffs among journalists will rise, and investigative reporting will wane due to mounting fears of libel lawsuits. The result? A media landscape increasingly dominated by shallow reporting and sensationalism with declining viewership and subscription.
  4. With America’s collective attention span shrinking, network TV shows, many sports events (including the NBA), and news programs will see further declines in audience engagement. Streaming platforms and niche content will solidify their dominance as traditional formats struggle.
  5. Iran is poised for more liberal reforms. Humiliated by its ongoing struggles with Israel and diminishing influence in the Middle East, internal pressures will drive gradual social and political changes, signaling a shift away from strict authoritarianism.
  6. Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce will become engaged this year. Hedging my bets if this means they will get married.
  7. The 76ers will inch into the play-in round of the NBA Championship playoffs where they will lose in the first round. Joel Embiid will not play due to injury. Process #2 begins with the firing of Nick Nurse and the trade of Embiid after the season.
  8. Christianity in America will increasingly shift focus from spiritual worship to political and cultural conservatism. Expect legislation at both state and federal levels aiming to roll back rights on abortion, birth control, and civil rights for LGBTQ individuals, women, and racial minorities, with the Supreme Court playing a pivotal role.
  9. 2025 will bring further credible evidence of extraterrestrial activity. Governments worldwide will grapple with the implications, leading to heightened discussions about national security and military preparedness in the face of potential unknown threats.
  10. Neither current NFL favorites, Kansas City or Detroit will win the 2025 Super Bowl.
  11. There will be similar concerns about Donald Trump’s physical and mental decline similar to the experiences about Joe Biden. Joe’s issues were obfuscated by the First Lady, Jill. Trump will have not have similar cover from Melania.
  12. With increasing dissatisfaction among Democrats and moderates, a new third-party movement will gain momentum, fueled by widespread dissatisfaction with the two-party system, but it will face significant hurdles in gaining electoral traction.









My Favorite Christmas Gift

I have no idea of the number of Christmas presents that I have received in my life. I do recall that the Christmas presents when I was very young were relatively modest. My memory of these pictures are that I was age 6, and were taken a few months before my father died of a heart attack. I was very excited to receive possibly my first piece of technology, a pocket watch.

My recollection was that my parents were very surprised when I was in first grade how quickly I picked up basic math and knew how to tell time. The picture on the left shows my happiness at getting a pocket watch and the picture on the left shows how dapper I looked with the pocket watch.

I must confess that Christmas is pretty much a sad day for me. Most of my family members have died, including my parents and my sister who is shown at age 2. I vaguely remember that we used to get a small Christmas tree and that I would help put tinsel on the branches. There was a Christmas village surrounding the base of the tree as well as a Lionel track and train set. There’s nothing like this smell of a real Christmas tree!

My Favorite Christmas Songs

Have there been any popular Christmas songs written or sung in the past 30 years?

  1. “All I Want for Christmas Is You” – Mariah Carey (1994)
  2. Rockin’ Around the Christmas Tree” – Brenda Lee (1958)
  3. “Feliz Navidad” – José Feliciano (1970)
  4. Wonderful Christmastime” – Paul McCartney (1979)
  5. “Merry Christmas Darling” – The Carpenters (1970)
  6. “Jingle Bell Rock” – Bobby Helms (1957)
  7. “Last Christmas” – Wham! (1984)
  8. We Need a Little Xmas -Johnny Mathis

Reagan: His Life and Legend by Max Boot (Book Review)


Max Boot’s biography, Reagan: His Life and Legend, offers a well-written and balanced examination of Ronald Reagan as President, Governor of California, husband, and father. While the book sheds light on Reagan’s admirable traits, it doesn’t shy away from his flaws, making it a nuanced portrayal that might not have pleased Reagan or his wife, Nancy, if they were alive to read it.

Reagan’s admirers—particularly those who regard him as one of the greatest U.S. Presidents—may find aspects of this book unsettling. While Boot acknowledges Reagan’s good qualities, he also highlights numerous shortcomings, presenting a more complex figure than the idealized version often celebrated.

The biography reinforced my belief that Reagan, though a decent man, was neither a particularly intelligent individual nor an exceptional leader. He lacked intellectual curiosity, with Reader’s Digest reportedly being his preferred reading material. Reagan, at heart, was an actor, and much of his success stemmed from his ability to follow direction—something he desperately needed throughout his political life.

One quality I genuinely admired in Reagan was his courage following the 1981 assassination attempt by John Hinckley. His ability to maintain a sense of humor even as he faced death was truly inspiring.

Reagan’s presidency benefited immensely from the presence of highly skilled advisors. For instance, Jim Baker, widely regarded as the best Chief of Staff in presidential history, played a pivotal role in keeping the administration on track. To Reagan’s credit, he recognized his limitations and leaned heavily on his team for guidance. Similarly, he often sought advice from Nancy, who was both his greatest supporter and, at times, a source of controversy in his life.

The book, at 731 pages, is lengthy but flows efficiently, offering a comprehensive look at Reagan’s life. Boot’s writing is engaging, making the biography an easy and compelling read despite its depth.

While there are faint parallels between Reagan and Donald Trump, I would caution against drawing too many comparisons. Reagan’s legacy, while flawed, is distinct in character and style from Trump’s presidency.

However, the book is not without its omissions. Boot largely sidesteps critical moments and controversies that shaped Reagan’s legacy. There’s no mention of the bombings of the U.S. Embassy, the Embassy annex, or the Marine barracks in Beirut—or the paralyzing indecision that followed. Likewise, the humiliating hostage crisis in Lebanon, the Iran-Contra affair, and the diversion of funds to the Contras are conspicuously absent.

Equally glaring is the lack of discussion on domestic issues, including scandals involving savings and loan regulators, the Department of Housing and Urban Development, and other government agencies. Boot also neglects to address Reagan’s rollback of civil rights laws, his failed nomination of Robert Bork to the Supreme Court, or the infamous visit to Bitburg Cemetery. The administration’s tax cuts, social welfare reductions, and their role in growing income inequality and the hollowing out of the middle class are similarly omitted.

On foreign policy, Boot overlooks Reagan’s apathy toward the AIDS pandemic, his opposition to sanctions on South Africa, and the dangerous escalation of tensions with the Soviet Union during the early 1980s fueled by his military buildup and incendiary rhetoric.

While Boot succeeds in painting a vivid picture of Reagan’s life and personality, these omissions leave the portrait incomplete. For readers seeking a full accounting of Reagan’s presidency, these gaps may feel significant. Nonetheless, the book offers a fascinating exploration of Reagan’s life, warts and all.


My Favorite Books of 2024

In 2024, I’ve read 60 books, and these are my top 12—representing the best 20%. Before diving into a book, I perform due diligence, as I want to make the most of my reading time. I gravitate toward nonfiction and typically source my books from the library or Kindle, rarely purchasing hardcovers or paperbacks anymore.

My reading tastes are eclectic. This year, I found myself delving into several books about German history between World War I and World War II, when Hitler rose to power. Perhaps this was influenced, consciously or not, by the recent presidential election results.

The books on this list stood out as informative, thought-provoking, or entertaining. While I may sometimes favor books that align with my existing beliefs, I actively seek perspectives that challenge me and shake up the cobwebs in my thinking.

Morning Muses

I can’t get too excited or surprised about Joe Biden providing a pardon for his son Hunter. What does Joe have to lose? He’s not running for President any more and he certainly does not owe the Democratic party any explanation.
***

As I was reading this essay, I nodded my head as this section captured my attitude about politics, the election and Trump…

Not long after the election, I had a conversation with a relative in which she said, in so many words, that she’d given up. She wasn’t worried for herself and her husband; they would be fine, financially and otherwise, whatever Trump did; they were safe within the bubble of professional-class privilege. Yes, she was sad that her children and grandchildren would inherit a worse world now—less-free, more violent, more subject to the ravages of climate change—than would have been the case, she believed, had Trump lost, but she couldn’t take responsibility for that. If the American people were stupid enough to vote for this guy, then they deserved whatever they got, and she wasn’t going to care anymore. She would look out for her own as best she could, and that’s it.

Biden Gives Up On America Noah Millman

***

At my age, I am content to have seen the best of America. I regret that this experience will not be passed down to future generations.
***

Off the top of my head, a partial Cabinet I’d nominate if I was President. Sorry no Fox commentators or former employees.

Attorney General: Lynn Cheney

Secretary of Treasury: Jamie Dimon

Secretary of State: Mitt Romney

Secretary of Defense: Mark Milley

Secretary of Education: Michelle Obama

Administrator of Small Business and Entrepreneurship: Seth Godin

Secretary of Homeland Security: Chris Christie

Secretary of Veterans Affairs: Phil Murphy (current NJ governor)

Director of OMB: Pete Buttigieg

Secretary of Health and Human Services: Mark Cuban

Director of National Intelligence: Jethro Gibbs (I’m kidding)

Press Secretary: Kara Swisher

***

It somewhat amuses me that fans urge the firing of a football coach, who has an excellent win-loss season record but makes the unforgivable mistake of losing a game to a bitter rival. But yet they will show infinite patience by re-electing politicians of poor performance, character and results.
***

I think as you grow older your Christmas list gets shorter because the things you want can’t be bought. 

found on a Facebook post